Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 27 August the Copa Uruguay brings Fenix against Liverpool Montevideo at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Fenix, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tacuarembo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cerro, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Liverpool Montevideo, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Fenix.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.0 xG, Liverpool Montevideo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 30%, draw 25%, Liverpool Montevideo 46%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix30%fair 3.35 · @3.35
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Liverpool Montevideo46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
2.42Expected goals
1.04Fenix xG
1.37Liverpool Montevideo xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.0 – 1.4 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Fenix +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Fenix – last 6
WLDDWL
23 Aug
@ Tacuarembo
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Plaza Colonia
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs La Luz
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Cerrito
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Atenas
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWWDWL
21 Aug
vs Cerro
4–0
W
16 Aug
@ Defensor Sporting
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Albion FC
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Central Espanol
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Defensor Sporting
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Cerro
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Fenix have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liverpool Montevideo 46%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Penarol1
Atletico Torque0