Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Maldonado welcome Wanderers for a Copa Uruguay fixture on Thursday 10 September (00:00 WAT).
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wanderers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Wanderers, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Maldonado, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Maldonado, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Wanderers.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Deportivo Maldonado 2–0 Wanderers. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportivo Maldonado 1 win, Wanderers 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 xG, Wanderers 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 63%, draw 24%, Wanderers 13%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maldonado to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maldonado63%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.30
Wanderers13%fair 7.69 · @4.75
2.19Expected goals
1.61Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.58Wanderers xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 – 0.6 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wanderers 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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