Bắc Ninh 36%Draw 24%Ho Chi Minh 40%Expected goals 1.14 – 1.24
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bắc Ninh welcome Ho Chi Minh to Viet Yen Stadium for a V.League 1 fixture on Friday 11 September (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Bắc Ninh, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Song Lam Nghe An, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Ho Chi Minh, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ha Noi, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Bắc Ninh 2–3 Ho Chi Minh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bắc Ninh 1.1 xG, Ho Chi Minh 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bắc Ninh 36%, draw 24%, Ho Chi Minh 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bắc Ninh 1–1 Ho Chi Minh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bắc Ninh36%fair 2.81 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Ho Chi Minh40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
2.38Expected goals
1.14Bắc Ninh xG
1.24Ho Chi Minh xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bắc Ninh 1.1 – 1.2 Ho Chi Minh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
On our numbers Bắc Ninh have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ho Chi Minh 40%.
How many goals will there be in Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our predicted score is Bắc Ninh 1–1 Ho Chi Minh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Viet Yen Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
