Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPhu Dong to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chancePhu Dong or draw ✓90% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.87
Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Phu Dong welcome Thanh Hóa to Ninh Binh Stadium for a V.League 1 fixture on Friday 11 September (12:00 WAT). In the table, Phu Dong are 3rd, among the top four, on 51 points after 26 matches; Thanh Hóa are 11th (lower half) with 25. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Phu Dong, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Hai Phong, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Thanh Hóa, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Da Nang, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Phu Dong, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Thanh Hóa.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Thanh Hóa 0–2 Phu Dong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phu Dong 3.5 xG, Thanh Hóa 1.5 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phu Dong 72%, draw 19%, Thanh Hóa 10%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Phu Dong to win (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phu Dong 3–1 Thanh Hóa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phu Dong72%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.80
Thanh Hóa10%fair 10.52 · @8.00
5.00Expected goals
3.49Phu Dong xG
1.51Thanh Hóa xG
59%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
4–16%
2–16%
3–25%
3–05%
4–25%
From our goals model: Phu Dong 3.5 – 1.5 Thanh Hóa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Phu Dong to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
On our numbers Phu Dong have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Thanh Hóa 10%.
How many goals will there be in Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
Our predicted score is Phu Dong 3–1 Thanh Hóa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ninh Binh Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bắc Ninh1