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Thanh Hóa v Nam Dinh: numbers & prediction

V.League 1 · Vietnam
0–2
FT
Thanh Hóa 22%Draw 16%Nam Dinh 62% Expected goals 1.17 – 2.16
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2

Value bet: Nam Dinh to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNam Dinh to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24

Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Thanh Hóa welcome Nam Dinh for a V.League 1 fixture on Saturday 17 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Thanh Hóa are 11th, lower half, on 25 points after 26 matches; Nam Dinh are 6th (upper half) with 35.

Current form

Thanh Hóa, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hai Phong, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Nam Dinh, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Phu Dong, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Nam Dinh 1–0 Thanh Hóa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thanh Hóa 1.2 xG, Nam Dinh 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thanh Hóa 22%, draw 16%, Nam Dinh 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Nam Dinh to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thanh Hóa 1–2 Nam Dinh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thanh Hóa22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.24 · @3.30
Nam Dinh62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
3.33Expected goals
1.17Thanh Hóa xG
2.16Nam Dinh xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.2 – 2.2 Nam Dinh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNam Dinh to win ✓62%1.621.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.30 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.70 ▲
Draw no betNam Dinh (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapThanh Hóa +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreNam Dinh to score first ✓62%1.60–
Half-time resultNam Dinh ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nam Dinh / FT Nam Dinh ✓38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.24–

Recent results

Thanh Hóa – last 6

WLLWLL
10 Oct@ Hai Phong2–1W
19 Sepvs Binh Duong0–2L
11 Sep@ Phu Dong1–2L
6 Sepvs Da Nang3–2W
7 Jun@ Da Nang0–4L
31 Mayvs Phu Dong0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nam Dinh – last 6

DLWLDW
10 Octvs Phu Dong1–1D
11 Sep@ Da Nang0–3L
6 Sepvs Hoang Anh Gia Lai4–0W
11 Junvs Ho Chi Minh2–4L
7 Jun@ Hai Phong1–1D
31 Mayvs Song Lam Nghe An3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Nam Dinh v Thanh Hóa1–0
Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh head-to-head page →

V.League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Công An Nhân Dân262042+3664
2Viettel261592+1854
3Phu Dong261565+2251
4Ha Noi261448+1846
5Ho Chi Minh2610610-836
6Nam Dinh26989+135
7Hai Phong269512+132
8Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh267811-1429
9Song Lam Nghe An267613-1327
10Hoang Anh Gia Lai266812-1326
11Thanh Hóa2651011-1225
12Da Nang265912-624
13Pho Hien265912-1824
14Binh Duong266614-1224

More V.League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh?

On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Nam Dinh 62%.

How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh?

Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–2 Nam Dinh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh?

Thanh Hóa vs Nam Dinh (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.