Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 61%Draw 23%Song Lam Nghe An 16%Expected goals 1.73 – 0.77
61%
Betarazi pick
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the V.League 1 brings Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh against Song Lam Nghe An. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh are 8th, lower half, on 29 points after 26 matches; Song Lam Nghe An are 9th (lower half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Viettel, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Song Lam Nghe An, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ho Chi Minh, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–1 Song Lam Nghe An.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.7 xG, Song Lam Nghe An 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 61%, draw 23%, Song Lam Nghe An 16%.
Lower-risk option: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Song Lam Nghe An. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh61%fair 1.65 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Song Lam Nghe An16%fair 6.10 · @5.00
2.50Expected goals
1.73Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
0.77Song Lam Nghe An xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.7 – 0.8 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Song Lam Nghe An 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
