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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ural II v Nosta: numbers & prediction

Ural II

LLDWL
1–2
FT

Nosta

WWLLW
Ural II 42%Draw 20%Nosta 38% Expected goals 1.61 – 1.51
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.54Odds

Picks by market

ResultUral II to win ✗42% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Ural II vs Nosta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the Second League Group 4 brings Ural II against Nosta. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Ural II are 9th, lower half, on 22 points after 22 matches; Nosta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 18.

Current form

Ural II, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Chelyabinsk II, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Nosta, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Orenburg II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nosta, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ural II.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Nosta 0–1 Ural II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ural II 2 wins, Nosta 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ural II 1.6 xG, Nosta 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ural II 42%, draw 20%, Nosta 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.54). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ural II 1–1 Nosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ural II42%fair 2.36 · @2.36
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.98
Nosta38%fair 2.62 · @2.64
3.12Expected goals
1.61Ural II xG
1.51Nosta xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%

From our goals model: Ural II 1.6 – 1.5 Nosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUral II to win ✗42%2.362.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.50
Draw no betUral II (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapNosta +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.16
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.54
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
First team to scoreUral II to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ural II / FT Ural II ✗24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Ural II – last 6

LLDWLW
27 Sep@ Chelyabinsk II2–3L
20 Sep@ Izhevsk1–2L
13 Sepvs Orenburg II1–1D
6 Sep@ Nosta1–0W
30 Augvs Rubin Kazan 22–3L
23 Aug@ Rubin Kazan 22–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nosta – last 6

WWLLWD
27 Sepvs Orenburg II2–0W
20 Sepvs Chelyabinsk II3–0W
13 Sep@ Rubin Kazan 20–2L
6 Sepvs Ural II0–1L
30 Aug@ Izhevsk2–1W
26 Augvs FK Sokol Saratov1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Nosta v Ural II0–1
16 Aug 2026Ural II v Nosta1–2
7 Jun 2026Nosta v Ural II0–2
Ural II vs Nosta head-to-head page →

Second League Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk221822+4156
2KDV221723+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod221345+1843
4Akron II2210210+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II22697-127
6Dinamo Barnaul227510-1926
7Orenburg II22688-426
8Izhevsk22589-223
9Ural II225710-1022
10Rubin Kazan 2224810-1020
11Nosta224612-2818
12Chelyabinsk II224513-1717

More Second League Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ural II vs Nosta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win Ural II vs Nosta?

On our numbers Ural II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nosta 38%.

How many goals will there be in Ural II vs Nosta?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ural II vs Nosta?

Our predicted score is Ural II 1–1 Nosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ural II vs Nosta?

Ural II vs Nosta (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.