Value bet: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPobeda Nizhniy Novgorod to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod welcome Krylya Sovetov II for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Sunday 4 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 22 matches; Krylya Sovetov II are 5th (upper half) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Barnaul, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Krylya Sovetov II, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Khimik Dzerzhinsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Krylya Sovetov II.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Krylya Sovetov II 0–1 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. The last 3 head-to-heads: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2 wins, Krylya Sovetov II 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1.9 xG, Krylya Sovetov II 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 61%, draw 19%, Krylya Sovetov II 20%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–0 Krylya Sovetov II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.83
Krylya Sovetov II20%fair 4.98 · @3.80
2.81Expected goals
1.87Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod xG
0.93Krylya Sovetov II xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 1.9 – 0.9 Krylya Sovetov II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod to win✗
61%
1.64
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.34 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.71
Draw no bet
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Krylya Sovetov II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.08
First team to score
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod / FT Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod✗
What is the prediction for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II?
On our numbers Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Krylya Sovetov II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II?
Our predicted score is Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–0 Krylya Sovetov II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II?
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod vs Krylya Sovetov II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
