Orenburg II 59%Draw 23%Ural II 19%Expected goals 2.09 – 1.12
81%
Betarazi pick
Orenburg II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Orenburg II to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOrenburg II to win ✗59% · @1.87
Double chanceOrenburg II or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Orenburg II vs Ural II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orenburg II welcome Ural II for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Orenburg II are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 22 matches; Ural II are 9th (lower half) with 22.
Current form
Orenburg II, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Izhevsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ural II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nosta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Orenburg II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Ural II.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Ural II 1–1 Orenburg II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Orenburg II 0 wins, Ural II 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orenburg II 2.1 xG, Ural II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orenburg II 59%, draw 23%, Ural II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Orenburg II or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Orenburg II to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Orenburg II or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orenburg II 2–1 Ural II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orenburg II59%fair 1.70 · @1.87
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Ural II19%fair 5.37 · @3.56
3.21Expected goals
2.09Orenburg II xG
1.12Ural II xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Orenburg II 2.1 – 1.1 Ural II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orenburg II vs Ural II?
Our pick is Orenburg II or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Ural II?
On our numbers Orenburg II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ural II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Ural II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Ural II?
Our predicted score is Orenburg II 2–1 Ural II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Orenburg II vs Ural II?
Orenburg II vs Ural II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.