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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orenburg II v Ural II: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT

Ural II

LLLDW
Orenburg II 59%Draw 23%Ural II 19% Expected goals 2.09 – 1.12
81%
Betarazi pick

Orenburg II or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Orenburg II to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOrenburg II to win ✗59% · @1.87
Double chanceOrenburg II or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Orenburg II vs Ural II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orenburg II welcome Ural II for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Orenburg II are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 22 matches; Ural II are 9th (lower half) with 22.

Current form

Orenburg II, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Izhevsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Ural II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nosta, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Orenburg II, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Ural II.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Ural II 1–1 Orenburg II. The last 3 head-to-heads: Orenburg II 0 wins, Ural II 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orenburg II 2.1 xG, Ural II 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orenburg II 59%, draw 23%, Ural II 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Orenburg II or draw (81%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: Orenburg II to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Orenburg II or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orenburg II 2–1 Ural II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orenburg II59%fair 1.70 · @1.87
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Ural II19%fair 5.37 · @3.56
3.21Expected goals
2.09Orenburg II xG
1.12Ural II xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Orenburg II 2.1 – 1.1 Ural II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrenburg II to win ✗59%1.701.87 ▲
Double chanceOrenburg II or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.45
Draw no betOrenburg II (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapUral II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.711.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.23
First team to scoreOrenburg II to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultOrenburg II ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orenburg II / FT Orenburg II ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Orenburg II – last 6

LLDDWW
4 Oct@ Izhevsk1–3L
27 Sep@ Nosta0–2L
20 Sepvs Rubin Kazan 23–3D
13 Sep@ Ural II1–1D
7 Sepvs Izhevsk3–0W
30 Augvs Chelyabinsk II2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ural II – last 6

LLLDWL
4 Octvs Nosta1–2L
27 Sep@ Chelyabinsk II2–3L
20 Sep@ Izhevsk1–2L
13 Sepvs Orenburg II1–1D
6 Sep@ Nosta1–0W
30 Augvs Rubin Kazan 22–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Sep 2026Ural II v Orenburg II1–1
14 Jun 2026Ural II v Orenburg II5–0
13 Apr 2026Orenburg II v Ural II2–2
Orenburg II vs Ural II head-to-head page →

Second League Group 4 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khimik Dzerzhinsk221822+4156
2KDV221723+2053
3Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod221345+1843
4Akron II2210210+1232
5Krylya Sovetov II22697-127
6Dinamo Barnaul227510-1926
7Orenburg II22688-426
8Izhevsk22589-223
9Ural II225710-1022
10Rubin Kazan 2224810-1020
11Nosta224612-2818
12Chelyabinsk II224513-1717

More Second League Group 4 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orenburg II vs Ural II?

Our pick is Orenburg II or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Orenburg II vs Ural II?

On our numbers Orenburg II have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ural II 19%.

How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Ural II?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Ural II?

Our predicted score is Orenburg II 2–1 Ural II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Orenburg II vs Ural II?

Orenburg II vs Ural II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.