Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓65% · @1.49
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Khimik Dzerzhinsk welcome Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Sunday 11 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st, leading the league, on 56 points after 22 matches; Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod are 3rd (among the top four) with 43. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Khimik Dzerzhinsk, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over KDV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Krylya Sovetov II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0–1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 1 win, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.3 xG, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khimik Dzerzhinsk 65%, draw 22%, Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 12%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win (65%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khimik Dzerzhinsk65%fair 1.54 · @1.49
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.00
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod12%fair 8.03 · @5.94
3.22Expected goals
2.27Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
0.95Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.3 – 0.9 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our pick is Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
On our numbers Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 12%.
How many goals will there be in Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Our predicted score is Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod?
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
