Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Segunda División brings Uruguay Montevideo against La Luz. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Uruguay Montevideo are 14th, in the drop zone, on 22 points after 25 matches; La Luz are 9th (lower half) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Uruguay Montevideo, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cerrito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
La Luz, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oriental, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended La Luz 2–0 Uruguay Montevideo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uruguay Montevideo 1.1 xG, La Luz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uruguay Montevideo 37%, draw 26%, La Luz 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 La Luz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uruguay Montevideo37%fair 2.67 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.62
La Luz36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
2.14Expected goals
1.08Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.06La Luz xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.1 – 1.1 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and La Luz 36%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
