Value bet: Atenas to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtenas to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Paysandu vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Atenas for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 29 August (23:00 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 25 matches; Atenas are 1st (leading the league) with 44.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CA River Plate, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Atenas, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Danubio, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.2 xG, Atenas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 36%, draw 24%, Atenas 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Atenas to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu36%fair 2.76 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Atenas39%fair 2.54 · @2.75
2.55Expected goals
1.24Paysandu xG
1.31Atenas xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.2 – 1.3 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
39%
2.54
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Atenas (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Atenas to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Paysandu – last 6
DLLWWW
22 Aug
vs CA River Plate
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Uruguay Montevideo
0–1
L
3 Aug
vs Oriental
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Colón
3–2
W
13 Jul
vs Fenix
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atenas – last 6
LDWWWL
26 Aug
@ Danubio
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Oriental
1–0
W
3 Aug
vs Colón
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Fenix
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Atenas.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Paysandu vs Atenas?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Atenas?
Paysandu vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
