Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Siroki Brijeg to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSiroki Brijeg to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceSiroki Brijeg or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Siroki Brijeg v Čelik in the Premijer Liga, played at Stadion Pecara. In the table, Siroki Brijeg are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 13 matches; Čelik are 8th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Siroki Brijeg, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sloga Doboj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Čelik, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zrinjski, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Aug 2026) it ended Čelik 1–2 Siroki Brijeg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Siroki Brijeg 1.6 xG, Čelik 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Siroki Brijeg 58%, draw 24%, Čelik 17%.
Lower-risk option: Siroki Brijeg or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Siroki Brijeg to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Siroki Brijeg or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Čelik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Siroki Brijeg58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Čelik17%fair 5.75 · @3.75
2.40Expected goals
1.63Siroki Brijeg xG
0.77Čelik xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Siroki Brijeg 1.6 – 0.8 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Our pick is Siroki Brijeg or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
On our numbers Siroki Brijeg have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Čelik 17%.
How many goals will there be in Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Our predicted score is Siroki Brijeg 1–0 Čelik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik?
Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pecara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
