17:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Velež v Čelik in the Premijer Liga, played at Stadion Rodjeni. In the table, Velež are 7th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Čelik are 8th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Velež, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sloga Doboj, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Čelik, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Borac Banja Luka, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Velež, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Čelik.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Aug 2026) it ended Čelik 3–0 Velež.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velež 1.9 xG, Čelik 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velež 66%, draw 22%, Čelik 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.04.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velež 1–0 Čelik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velež66%fair 1.50 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.44
Čelik11%fair 8.80 · @5.35
2.49Expected goals
1.86Velež xG
0.63Čelik xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Velež 1.9 – 0.6 Čelik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Velež vs Čelik?
On our numbers Velež have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Čelik 11%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Čelik?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Čelik?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–0 Čelik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Čelik?
Velež vs Čelik (Premijer Liga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
