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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Panathinaikos v Aris Thessalonikis: numbers & prediction

Cup · Greece · Olympic Stadium of Athens

Panathinaikos

WWWWL
2–1
FT

Aris Thessalonikis

WWWDW
Panathinaikos 62%Draw 23%Aris Thessalonikis 15% Expected goals 1.23 – 0.37
62%
Betarazi pick

Panathinaikos to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultPanathinaikos to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.01

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Panathinaikos v Aris Thessalonikis in the Cup, played at Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Current form

Panathinaikos, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Volos NFC, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Aris Thessalonikis, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atromitos, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Panathinaikos 3–1 Aris Thessalonikis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Panathinaikos 1.2 xG, Aris Thessalonikis 0.4 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Panathinaikos 62%, draw 23%, Aris Thessalonikis 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Panathinaikos or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Panathinaikos to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panathinaikos 1–0 Aris Thessalonikis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Panathinaikos62%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Aris Thessalonikis15%fair 6.80 · @5.00
1.60Expected goals
1.23Panathinaikos xG
0.37Aris Thessalonikis xG
45%Both score
22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–025%
0–020%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Panathinaikos 1.2 – 0.4 Aris Thessalonikis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPanathinaikos to win ✓62%1.601.62
Double chancePanathinaikos or draw ✓85%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.821.75
Draw no betPanathinaikos (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapAris Thessalonikis +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗52%1.91–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scorePanathinaikos to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Panathinaikos / FT Panathinaikos ✓34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25%4.01–

Recent results

Panathinaikos – last 6

WWWWLW
25 Oct@ Volos NFC1–0W
22 Oct@ Kairat Almaty5–1W
18 Octvs Asteras Tripolis5–1W
15 Octvs Borac Banja Luka2–1W
11 Oct@ Olympiakos Piraeus0–1L
20 Sep@ Kalamata1–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aris Thessalonikis – last 6

WWWDWL
25 Octvs Atromitos3–1W
18 Oct@ Kifisia2–1W
11 Octvs Volos NFC3–2W
19 Sepvs Iraklis 19080–0D
16 Sepvs Marko1–0W
13 Sep@ PAOK0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Panathinaikos v Aris Thessalonikis3–1
Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

League hub
FT Nestos Chrisoupolis0 Kalamata2 113%5.50X20%3.50267%1.55 0.9–2.1xG 2Kalamata to win 67%@1.55 ✓
FT Marko0 Olympiakos Piraeus2 110%11.00X18%5.80272%1.20 0.9–2.5xG 2Olympiakos Piraeus to win 72%@1.20 ✓
FT Larisa1 OFI0 132%3.25X24%2.90243%2.15 1.3–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✗
FT PAOK3 AEK Athens FC1 136%2.45X25%2.80239%2.80 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.91 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our pick is Panathinaikos to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

On our numbers Panathinaikos have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aris Thessalonikis 15%.

How many goals will there be in Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our predicted score is Panathinaikos 1–0 Aris Thessalonikis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Panathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Olympic Stadium of Athens.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.