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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

PAOK v AEK Athens FC: numbers & prediction

Cup · Greece · Toumba Stadium

PAOK

LWLWW
3–1
FT
PAOK 36%Draw 25%AEK Athens FC 39% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.53
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AEK Athens FC travel to face PAOK on Wednesday 28 October in the Cup, with Toumba Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.

Current form

PAOK, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to OFI, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

AEK Athens FC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Panetolikos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: PAOK 0 wins, AEK Athens FC 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 1.5 xG, AEK Athens FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 36%, draw 25%, AEK Athens FC 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PAOK36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
AEK Athens FC39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.47PAOK xG
1.53AEK Athens FC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: PAOK 1.5 – 1.5 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Athens FC to win ✗39%2.562.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.91 ▲
Draw no betAEK Athens FC (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapPAOK +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreAEK Athens FC to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

PAOK – last 6

LWLWWW
25 Oct@ OFI1–2L
18 Octvs Iraklis 19082–1W
12 Octvs Kalamata1–3L
20 Sep@ Panetolikos3–1W
16 Sep@ Atromitos1–0W
13 Sepvs Aris Thessalonikis2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AEK Athens FC – last 6

WLLWWW
24 Octvs Panetolikos5–0W
20 Oct@ Manchester City1–5L
14 Oct@ Shakhtar Donetsk1–3L
10 Octvs OFI3–0W
20 Sep@ Volos NFC2–1W
17 Sepvs Panserraikos8–1W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 May 2026PAOK v AEK Athens FC1–1
19 Apr 2026AEK Athens FC v PAOK3–0
15 Feb 2026PAOK v AEK Athens FC0–0
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

On our numbers PAOK have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AEK Athens FC 39%.

How many goals will there be in PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.