Value bet: Wanderers to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wanderers travel to face Deportivo Maldonado on Saturday 5 September in the Primera División Apertura – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Maldonado are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; Wanderers are 10th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cerrito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Wanderers, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo Maldonado 0 wins, Wanderers 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 1.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 xG, Wanderers 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Maldonado 44%, draw 23%, Wanderers 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Wanderers to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Maldonado44%fair 2.27 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Wanderers33%fair 3.05 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.41Deportivo Maldonado xG
1.17Wanderers xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 – 1.2 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Wanderers 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
