Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Racing Montevideo to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Montevideo to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceRacing Montevideo or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Cerro vs Racing Montevideo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro welcome Racing Montevideo to Estadio Luis Troccoli for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Sunday 6 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Cerro are 9th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Racing Montevideo are 6th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cerro, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wanderers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Racing Montevideo, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Oriental, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Racing Montevideo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Cerro.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Cerro 1–0 Racing Montevideo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cerro 1 win, Racing Montevideo 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro 0.6 xG, Racing Montevideo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro 16%, draw 26%, Racing Montevideo 58%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Montevideo or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Racing Montevideo to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Racing Montevideo or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro 0–1 Racing Montevideo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro16%fair 6.15 · @4.50
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.00
Racing Montevideo58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
2.10Expected goals
0.63Cerro xG
1.47Racing Montevideo xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Cerro 0.6 – 1.5 Racing Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?
Our pick is Racing Montevideo or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?
On our numbers Cerro have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Racing Montevideo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Cerro 0–1 Racing Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cerro vs Racing Montevideo?
Cerro vs Racing Montevideo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Troccoli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
