Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.94
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Primera División Apertura brings Liverpool Montevideo against Boston River at Estadio Belvedere. Kick-off: 23:30 WAT. In the table, Liverpool Montevideo are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Boston River are 11th (lower half) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Liverpool Montevideo, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Boston River, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Boston River, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Liverpool Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Sep 2026) it ended Liverpool Montevideo 0–1 Boston River. The last 3 head-to-heads: Liverpool Montevideo 2 wins, Boston River 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 xG, Boston River 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool Montevideo 59%, draw 21%, Boston River 20%.
Lower-risk option: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool Montevideo59%fair 1.70 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Boston River20%fair 4.94 · @4.33
2.42Expected goals
1.62Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.80Boston River xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 – 0.8 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Liverpool Montevideo (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Boston River +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Liverpool Montevideo to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Boston River 20%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
