Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund to win ✓58% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 8 September the UEFA Champions League brings Borussia Dortmund against Villarreal at Signal Iduna Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Borussia Dortmund are 12th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Villarreal are 28th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over 1899 Hoffenheim, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Villarreal, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Deportivo La Coruna, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Borussia Dortmund, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Villarreal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund 2.1 xG, Villarreal 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund 58%, draw 19%, Villarreal 23%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Villarreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Dortmund58%fair 1.73 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.10
Villarreal23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
3.31Expected goals
2.08Borussia Dortmund xG
1.23Villarreal xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund 2.1 – 1.2 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund to win✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Villarreal +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Borussia Dortmund ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund / FT Borussia Dortmund✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Borussia Dortmund – last 6
WWWLDW
5 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ HEBC
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Hamburger SV
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs AS Roma
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Arsenal
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
LLDDWW
5 Sep
vs Deportivo La Coruna
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Alaves
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Atletico Madrid
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Racing Santander
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Galatasaray
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Levante
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Villarreal 23%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Signal Iduna Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
