Lille v Real Betis Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40

Double chanceLille or draw ✗80% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.42

Lille vs Real Betis: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lille welcome Real Betis to Stade Pierre-Mauroy for a UEFA Champions League fixture on Tuesday 8 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Lille are 35th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Real Betis are 11th (upper half) with 9.

Current form

Lille, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Toulouse, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Real Betis, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Madrid, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lille 1.5 xG, Real Betis 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 29%, draw 51%, Real Betis 20%.
Lower-risk option: Lille or draw (80%) at 1.35.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lille or draw (80%, odds 1.35 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 1–1 Real Betis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lille29%fair 3.49 · @2.18

Draw51%fair 1.94 · @3.40

Real Betis20%fair 5.01 · @3.15

2.78Expected goals

1.49Lille xG

1.30Real Betis xG

62%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Lille 1.5 – 1.3 Real Betis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	51%	1.94	3.40 ▲
Double chance	Lille or draw ✗	80%	1.25	1.35 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.62
Draw no bet	Lille (draw no bet) ✗	59%	1.70	–
Asian handicap	Real Betis +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Lille to score first	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lille / FT Lille ✗	25%	4.06	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–2 ✗	6%	17.42	–

Lille – last 6

WDWDDW

3 Sep	@ Toulouse	1–0	W
28 Aug	vs Paris Saint Germain	2–2	D
23 Aug	@ Angers	2–0	W
15 Aug	@ Everton	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Hamburger SV	2–2	D
1 Aug	@ OH Leuven	6–3	W

2.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Real Betis – last 6

WLWWLD

4 Sep	vs Real Madrid	1–0	W
29 Aug	@ Levante	2–5	L
25 Aug	@ Valencia	1–0	W
21 Aug	vs Real Sociedad	1–0	W
15 Aug	@ Inter	0–1	L
8 Aug	vs Bournemouth	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Como	4	3	0	1	+13	9
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	+4	9
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	+4	9
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	+2	9
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+2	9
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	+7	8
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	+3	7
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	+2	6
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	0	6
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	-5	5
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	+2	4
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	0	4
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	-1	4
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	-1	4
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	-1	4
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	-5	4
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	-1	3
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-6	3
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	-6	3
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	-6	3
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	-6	3
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	-7	3
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	-12	3
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	-6	1
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	-16	0

Team

Pts

+15

+13

-1

-5

-1

-1

-1

-5

-1

-5

-6

-6

-6

-6

-7

-12

-4

-6

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lille vs Real Betis?

Our pick is Lille or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Lille vs Real Betis?

On our numbers Lille have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Real Betis 20%.

How many goals will there be in Lille vs Real Betis?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Real Betis?

Our predicted score is Lille 1–1 Real Betis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Lille vs Real Betis?

Lille vs Real Betis (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lille v Real Betis: numbers & prediction