Value bet: Kustosija to win @ 2.88 – our chance 43% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKustosija to win ✗43% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Cup brings Kustosija against Bsk Bijelo Brdo. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Kustosija, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with HNK Cibalia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Bsk Bijelo Brdo, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Opatija, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bsk Bijelo Brdo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Kustosija.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kustosija 1.8 xG, Bsk Bijelo Brdo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kustosija 43%, draw 21%, Bsk Bijelo Brdo 36%.
Price worth noting: Kustosija to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kustosija 2–1 Bsk Bijelo Brdo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kustosija43%fair 2.31 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Bsk Bijelo Brdo36%fair 2.80 · @2.25
3.34Expected goals
1.76Kustosija xG
1.58Bsk Bijelo Brdo xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kustosija 1.8 – 1.6 Bsk Bijelo Brdo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kustosija to win✗
43%
2.31
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Kustosija (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Bsk Bijelo Brdo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Kustosija to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kustosija / FT Kustosija✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Kustosija – last 6
DLDLWD
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Mladost Ždralovi
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs HNK Zadar
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Dugopolje
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bsk Bijelo Brdo – last 6
WWLDWL
11 Sep
@ Opatija
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Jadran LP
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
1–0
W
30 May
vs Croatia Zmijavci
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kustosija and Bsk Bijelo Brdo.
What is the prediction for Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
On our numbers Kustosija have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bsk Bijelo Brdo 36%.
How many goals will there be in Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
Our predicted score is Kustosija 2–1 Bsk Bijelo Brdo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo?
Kustosija vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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