Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.46
Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Cup brings Vrbovec against HNK Rijeka. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT.
Current form
HNK Rijeka, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vrbovec 1.2 xG, HNK Rijeka 3.2 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vrbovec 11%, draw 13%, HNK Rijeka 76%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vrbovec 1–3 HNK Rijeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vrbovec11%fair 8.81 · @29.00
Draw13%fair 7.92 · @11.00
HNK Rijeka76%fair 1.32 · @1.06
4.40Expected goals
1.22Vrbovec xG
3.18HNK Rijeka xG
57%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
1–28%
0–37%
1–46%
0–26%
0–45%
From our goals model: Vrbovec 1.2 – 3.2 HNK Rijeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HNK Rijeka to win✓
76%
1.32
1.06
Double chance
HNK Rijeka or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
HNK Rijeka (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
HNK Rijeka -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
First team to score
HNK Rijeka to score first✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
HNK Rijeka ahead at half-time✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HNK Rijeka / FT HNK Rijeka✓
53%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.46
–
Recent results
Vrbovec – last 1
W
26 Aug
vs Daruvar
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
HNK Rijeka – last 6
DWDLWL
12 Sep
@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs NK Osijek
4–1
W
31 Aug
@ HNK Gorica
0–0
D
27 Aug
vs FC Midtjylland
1–4
L
23 Aug
vs Istra 1961
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ FC Midtjylland
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vrbovec and HNK Rijeka.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
On our numbers Vrbovec have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 13% and HNK Rijeka 76%.
How many goals will there be in Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
Our predicted score is Vrbovec 1–3 HNK Rijeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka?
Vrbovec vs HNK Rijeka (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.