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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigres de Alica v Tritons Vallarta: numbers & prediction

·
1–1
FT
Tigres de Alica 63%Draw 23%Tritons Vallarta 14% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.63
63%
Betarazi pick

Tigres de Alica to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultTigres de Alica to win ✗63% · @1.60
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tritons Vallarta travel to face Tigres de Alica on Sunday 27 September in the – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Tigres de Alica, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lobos ULMX, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Tritons Vallarta, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Los Cabos United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Tigres de Alica 1–0 Tritons Vallarta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigres de Alica 1.7 xG, Tritons Vallarta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres de Alica 63%, draw 23%, Tritons Vallarta 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tigres de Alica or draw (86%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tigres de Alica to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres de Alica 1–0 Tritons Vallarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigres de Alica63%fair 1.59 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Tritons Vallarta14%fair 7.10 · @5.00
2.29Expected goals
1.66Tigres de Alica xG
0.63Tritons Vallarta xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Tigres de Alica 1.7 – 0.6 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres de Alica to win ✗63%1.591.60
Double chanceTigres de Alica or draw ✓86%1.161.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.95
Draw no betTigres de Alica (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapTigres de Alica -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreTigres de Alica to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres de Alica / FT Tigres de Alica ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

Tigres de Alica – last 6

DLWWWL
19 Sepvs Lobos ULMX1–1D
13 Sep@ Irapuato1–2L
6 Sep@ Los Cabos United2–1W
29 Augvs Zacatepec 19483–1W
19 Aprvs Deportivo Zap2–1W
15 Apr@ Deportivo Zap0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tritons Vallarta – last 6

LDDWWL
20 Sep@ Los Cabos United0–1L
11 Sepvs Zacatepec 19481–1D
22 Aprvs Deportiva Venados1–1D
15 Aprvs Tapachula1–0W
28 Marvs Los Cabos United2–0W
22 Mar@ Tigres de Alica0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Tigres de Alica v Tritons Vallarta1–0
Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?

Our pick is Tigres de Alica to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?

On our numbers Tigres de Alica have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tritons Vallarta 14%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?

Our predicted score is Tigres de Alica 1–0 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta?

Tigres de Alica vs Tritons Vallarta () kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.