Montañeses 59%Draw 26%Inter Playa del Carmen 15%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.91
85%
Betarazi pick
Montañeses or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Montañeses to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMontañeses to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceMontañeses or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.26
Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Montañeses welcome Inter Playa del Carmen for a fixture on Sunday 27 September (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Montañeses, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Celaya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Inter Playa del Carmen, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chapulineros, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montañeses 1.9 xG, Inter Playa del Carmen 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montañeses 59%, draw 26%, Inter Playa del Carmen 15%.
Lower-risk option: Montañeses or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Montañeses to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Montañeses or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montañeses 1–0 Inter Playa del Carmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montañeses59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Inter Playa del Carmen15%fair 6.75 · @3.50
2.85Expected goals
1.94Montañeses xG
0.91Inter Playa del Carmen xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Montañeses 1.9 – 0.9 Inter Playa del Carmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montañeses to win✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Montañeses or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Montañeses (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Montañeses -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Montañeses to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Montañeses ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montañeses / FT Montañeses✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.26
–
Recent results
Montañeses – last 6
LLDDWL
20 Sep
@ Celaya
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Deportiva Venados
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Celaya
5–1
W
15 Mar
vs Racing de Veracruz
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Inter Playa del Carmen – last 6
DLLDDW
20 Sep
vs Chapulineros
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Tapachula
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Pioneros de Cancún
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
18 Apr
@ Tecos
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Tecos
2–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montañeses and Inter Playa del Carmen.
What is the prediction for Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our pick is Montañeses or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
On our numbers Montañeses have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Inter Playa del Carmen 15%.
How many goals will there be in Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Our predicted score is Montañeses 1–0 Inter Playa del Carmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen?
Montañeses vs Inter Playa del Carmen () kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tigres de Alica1
Tritons Vallarta1
Irapuato3
Lobos ULMX0