Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Tapachula vs Chapulineros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chapulineros travel to face Tapachula on Sunday 4 October in the – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Tapachula, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Pioneros de Cancún, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chapulineros, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pioneros de Cancún, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tapachula, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Chapulineros.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tapachula 1.7 xG, Chapulineros 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tapachula 48%, draw 21%, Chapulineros 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tapachula 2–1 Chapulineros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tapachula48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Chapulineros31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
2.95Expected goals
1.67Tapachula xG
1.28Chapulineros xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tapachula 1.7 – 1.3 Chapulineros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapachula to win✗
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Tapachula (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Chapulineros +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Tapachula to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapachula / FT Tapachula✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Tapachula – last 6
LWLLLW
19 Sep
@ Pioneros de Cancún
1–5
L
13 Sep
vs Inter Playa del Carmen
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Celaya
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Racing de Veracruz
0–4
L
15 Apr
@ Tritons Vallarta
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Mexicali FC
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chapulineros – last 6
LDDLLD
26 Sep
vs Pioneros de Cancún
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Inter Playa del Carmen
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Celaya
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Racing de Veracruz
1–5
L
29 Aug
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Jaguares de Chiapas
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapachula and Chapulineros.
What is the prediction for Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
On our numbers Tapachula have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chapulineros 31%.
How many goals will there be in Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
Our predicted score is Tapachula 2–1 Chapulineros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tapachula vs Chapulineros?
Tapachula vs Chapulineros () kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Tritons Vallarta1
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