Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultLobos ULMX to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.76
Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tritons Vallarta travel to face Lobos ULMX on Sunday 4 October in the – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Lobos ULMX, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Irapuato, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tritons Vallarta, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigres de Alica, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lobos ULMX 1.4 xG, Tritons Vallarta 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lobos ULMX 58%, draw 17%, Tritons Vallarta 24%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lobos ULMX to win (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lobos ULMX 1–0 Tritons Vallarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lobos ULMX58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
Draw17%fair 5.78 · @3.40
Tritons Vallarta24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
2.13Expected goals
1.41Lobos ULMX xG
0.72Tritons Vallarta xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–012%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Lobos ULMX 1.4 – 0.7 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lobos ULMX to win✓
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Draw no bet
Lobos ULMX (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Tritons Vallarta +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Lobos ULMX to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lobos ULMX / FT Lobos ULMX✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Lobos ULMX – last 6
LDLLWW
27 Sep
@ Irapuato
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ Tigres de Alica
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Los Cabos United
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Zacatepec 1948
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Zitacuaro
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Atletico Hidalgo
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tritons Vallarta – last 6
DLDDWW
27 Sep
@ Tigres de Alica
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Los Cabos United
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Zacatepec 1948
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Deportiva Venados
1–1
D
15 Apr
vs Tapachula
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Los Cabos United
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lobos ULMX and Tritons Vallarta.
What is the prediction for Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our pick is Lobos ULMX to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta?
On our numbers Lobos ULMX have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tritons Vallarta 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta?
Our predicted score is Lobos ULMX 1–0 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta?
Lobos ULMX vs Tritons Vallarta () kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tapachula2
Chapulineros3
Inter Playa del Carmen3
Deportiva Venados1
Los Cabos United
Cordobés