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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportiva Venados v Tritons Vallarta: numbers & prediction

·

Deportiva Venados

LWWLL
1–1
FT

Tritons Vallarta

WLLLD
Deportiva Venados 66%Draw 22%Tritons Vallarta 12% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.77
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportiva Venados to win ✗66% · @1.66
Double chanceDeportiva Venados or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the brings Deportiva Venados against Tritons Vallarta. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Deportiva Venados, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Irapuato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Tritons Vallarta, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pioneros de Cancún, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportiva Venados, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Tritons Vallarta.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Tritons Vallarta 1–1 Deportiva Venados.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportiva Venados 2.0 xG, Tritons Vallarta 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportiva Venados 66%, draw 22%, Tritons Vallarta 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.99.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportiva Venados 2–0 Tritons Vallarta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportiva Venados66%fair 1.52 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Tritons Vallarta12%fair 8.40 · @4.72
2.80Expected goals
2.03Deportiva Venados xG
0.77Tritons Vallarta xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Deportiva Venados 2.0 – 0.8 Tritons Vallarta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportiva Venados to win ✗66%1.521.66 ▲
Double chanceDeportiva Venados or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.99 ▲
Draw no betDeportiva Venados (draw no bet)85%1.18–
Asian handicapDeportiva Venados -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.63
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.381.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.07
First team to scoreDeportiva Venados to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultDeportiva Venados ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportiva Venados / FT Deportiva Venados ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Deportiva Venados – last 6

LWWLLD
1 Nov@ Irapuato1–2L
25 Octvs Tigres de Alica3–1W
20 Oct@ Tapachula4–1W
11 Octvs Pioneros de Cancún1–4L
4 Oct@ Inter Playa del Carmen1–3L
27 Sepvs Celaya2–2D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Tritons Vallarta – last 6

WLLLDL
30 Octvs Pioneros de Cancún3–2W
24 Oct@ Chapulineros1–2L
11 Oct@ Irapuato0–1L
4 Oct@ Lobos ULMX1–2L
27 Sep@ Tigres de Alica1–1D
20 Sep@ Los Cabos United0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Tritons Vallarta v Deportiva Venados1–1
Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Inter Playa del Carmen1 Lobos ULMX2 136%3.00X23%3.25242%2.20 1.3–1.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.85 ✗
FT Celaya1 Tigres de Alica1 144%2.18X22%3.25234%2.92 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Montañeses2 Los Cabos United1 142%2.16X21%3.36237%2.76 1.5–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.34 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta?

On our numbers Deportiva Venados have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tritons Vallarta 12%.

How many goals will there be in Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta?

Our predicted score is Deportiva Venados 2–0 Tritons Vallarta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta?

Deportiva Venados vs Tritons Vallarta () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.