Celaya vs Tigres de Alica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Celaya welcome Tigres de Alica for a fixture on Sunday 8 November (02:00 WAT).
Current form
Celaya, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Los Cabos United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Tigres de Alica, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tapachula, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celaya 1.5 xG, Tigres de Alica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celaya 44%, draw 22%, Tigres de Alica 34%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celaya 1–1 Tigres de Alica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celaya44%fair 2.28 · @2.18
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Tigres de Alica34%fair 2.97 · @2.92
2.81Expected goals
1.52Celaya xG
1.29Tigres de Alica xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Celaya 1.5 – 1.3 Tigres de Alica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celaya to win✗
44%
2.28
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Celaya (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Tigres de Alica +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Celaya to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celaya / FT Celaya✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Celaya – last 6
WWLLDW
1 Nov
@ Los Cabos United
4–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cordobés
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Racing de Veracruz
1–2
L
6 Oct
vs Jaguares de Chiapas
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Deportiva Venados
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Montañeses
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Tigres de Alica – last 6
WLWLWD
31 Oct
vs Tapachula
4–1
W
25 Oct
@ Deportiva Venados
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Reboceros La Piedad
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Cordobés
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs H2O Purepechas
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Tritons Vallarta
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celaya and Tigres de Alica.
What is the prediction for Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
On our numbers Celaya have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tigres de Alica 34%.
How many goals will there be in Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
Our predicted score is Celaya 1–1 Tigres de Alica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Celaya vs Tigres de Alica?
Celaya vs Tigres de Alica () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportiva Venados1
Tritons Vallarta1
Inter Playa del Carmen1
Lobos ULMX2
Montañeses2
Los Cabos United1