Atlético Choloma 38%Draw 23%Estrella Roja 39%Expected goals 1.37 – 1.42
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstrella Roja to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Liga Nacional brings Atlético Choloma against Estrella Roja at Estadio Ruben Deras. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT.
Current form
Atlético Choloma, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lobos Upnfm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Estrella Roja, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Platense FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Estrella Roja, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Atlético Choloma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Choloma 1.4 xG, Estrella Roja 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Choloma 38%, draw 23%, Estrella Roja 39%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Choloma 1–1 Estrella Roja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Choloma38%fair 2.66 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Estrella Roja39%fair 2.54 · @2.40
2.79Expected goals
1.37Atlético Choloma xG
1.42Estrella Roja xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atlético Choloma 1.4 – 1.4 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrella Roja to win✗
39%
2.54
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Estrella Roja (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Choloma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Estrella Roja to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrella Roja / FT Estrella Roja✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Atlético Choloma – last 6
LDLWLL
13 Sep
@ Lobos Upnfm
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Olancho
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ Real Espana
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Platense FC
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs CD Marathon
0–1
L
10 Aug
@ Atletico Independiente
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja – last 6
DLDWDW
12 Sep
vs Platense FC
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ CD Marathon
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs CD Olimpia
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Juticalpa
5–2
W
16 Aug
@ Lobos Upnfm
2–2
D
10 Aug
@ CD Motagua
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Choloma and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers Atlético Choloma have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estrella Roja 39%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is Atlético Choloma 1–1 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja?
Atlético Choloma vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ruben Deras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
