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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Génesis v Olancho: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova
0–0
FT

Olancho

DDLDW
Génesis 44%Draw 23%Olancho 33% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.01
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultGénesis to win ✗44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66

Génesis vs Olancho: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Génesis v Olancho in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova. In the table, Génesis are 8th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Olancho are 7th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Génesis, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CD Motagua, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Olancho, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Espana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 May 2026) it ended Olancho 1–3 Génesis. The last 3 head-to-heads: Génesis 1 win, Olancho 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Génesis 1.2 xG, Olancho 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Génesis 44%, draw 23%, Olancho 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Génesis 1–1 Olancho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Génesis44%fair 2.25 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Olancho33%fair 3.02 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.24Génesis xG
1.01Olancho xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Génesis 1.2 – 1.0 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGénesis to win ✗44%2.252.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.80–
Draw no betGénesis (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapOlancho +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreGénesis to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Génesis / FT Génesis ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.66–

Recent results

Génesis – last 6

LWLDWL
13 Sep@ CD Motagua0–1L
7 Sep@ Juticalpa3–0W
29 Augvs CD Marathon1–2L
22 Aug@ Atletico Independiente1–1D
15 Augvs Platense FC3–0W
9 Aug@ Real Espana0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Olancho – last 6

DDLDWD
13 Sepvs Real Espana1–1D
5 Sep@ Atlético Choloma0–0D
30 Aug@ CD Motagua1–2L
24 Augvs CD Olimpia1–1D
17 Augvs Juticalpa1–0W
9 Aug@ Lobos Upnfm1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 May 2026Olancho v Génesis1–3
1 May 2026Olancho v Génesis2–2
11 Mar 2026Génesis v Olancho0–0
Génesis vs Olancho head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Génesis vs Olancho?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Génesis vs Olancho?

On our numbers Génesis have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olancho 33%.

How many goals will there be in Génesis vs Olancho?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Génesis vs Olancho?

Our predicted score is Génesis 1–1 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Génesis vs Olancho?

Génesis vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Cordova.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.