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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Espana v CD Motagua: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras
1–0
FT
Real Espana 42%Draw 24%CD Motagua 34% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.13
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Espana to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89

Real Espana vs CD Motagua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Liga Nacional brings Real Espana against CD Motagua. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Real Espana are 2nd, among the top four, on 29 points after 14 matches; CD Motagua are 4th (among the top four) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Real Espana, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olancho, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

CD Motagua, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alianza, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended CD Motagua 1–1 Real Espana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Espana 1.3 xG, CD Motagua 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Espana 42%, draw 24%, CD Motagua 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Espana 1–1 CD Motagua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Espana42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
CD Motagua34%fair 2.97 · @3.00
2.43Expected goals
1.30Real Espana xG
1.13CD Motagua xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Real Espana 1.3 – 1.1 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Espana to win ✓42%2.382.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.67
Draw no betReal Espana (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapCD Motagua +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreReal Espana to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Espana / FT Real Espana ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.89–

Recent results

Real Espana – last 6

DWWDDW
13 Sep@ Olancho1–1D
7 Sepvs Lobos Upnfm2–0W
31 Augvs Atlético Choloma2–1W
23 Aug@ CD Marathon1–1D
16 Augvs Atletico Independiente1–1D
9 Augvs Génesis2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

CD Motagua – last 6

DWWDWD
17 Sep@ Alianza0–0D
13 Sepvs Génesis1–0W
10 Sepvs Alianza3–0W
6 Sep@ Atletico Independiente0–0D
30 Augvs Olancho2–1W
26 Aug@ Municipal1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Mar 2026CD Motagua v Real Espana1–1
Real Espana vs CD Motagua head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Espana vs CD Motagua?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Real Espana vs CD Motagua?

On our numbers Real Espana have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CD Motagua 34%.

How many goals will there be in Real Espana vs CD Motagua?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Espana vs CD Motagua?

Our predicted score is Real Espana 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Real Espana vs CD Motagua?

Real Espana vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.