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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juticalpa v CD Marathon: numbers & prediction

Liga Nacional · Honduras · Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
3–2
FT
Juticalpa 14%Draw 22%CD Marathon 63% Expected goals 0.81 – 1.93
63%
Betarazi pick

CD Marathon to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultCD Marathon to win ✗63% · @1.42
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✗86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.94

Juticalpa vs CD Marathon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Juticalpa v CD Marathon in the Liga Nacional, played at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. In the table, Juticalpa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 14 matches; CD Marathon are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juticalpa, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Independiente, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

CD Marathon, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to LD Alajuelense, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CD Marathon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Juticalpa.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Juticalpa 0–4 CD Marathon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juticalpa 0.8 xG, CD Marathon 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juticalpa 14%, draw 22%, CD Marathon 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was CD Marathon to win (63%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juticalpa 0–1 CD Marathon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juticalpa14%fair 6.93 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.10
CD Marathon63%fair 1.59 · @1.42
2.74Expected goals
0.81Juticalpa xG
1.93CD Marathon xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%

From our goals model: Juticalpa 0.8 – 1.9 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCD Marathon to win ✗63%1.591.42
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✗86%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.83–
Draw no betCD Marathon (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapCD Marathon -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.17–
First team to scoreCD Marathon to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultCD Marathon ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT CD Marathon / FT CD Marathon ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8%12.94–

Recent results

Juticalpa – last 6

LLWLLL
14 Sep@ Atletico Independiente1–2L
7 Sepvs Génesis0–3L
29 Augvs Lobos Upnfm1–0W
23 Aug@ Estrella Roja2–5L
17 Aug@ Olancho0–1L
9 Augvs CD Olimpia1–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CD Marathon – last 6

LWDWWW
18 Sep@ LD Alajuelense1–3L
14 Sepvs CD Olimpia1–0W
11 Sepvs LD Alajuelense2–2D
6 Sepvs Estrella Roja5–0W
29 Aug@ Génesis2–1W
27 Augvs Real Estelí3–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Juticalpa v CD Marathon0–4
Juticalpa vs CD Marathon head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Olimpia141031+2633
2Real Espana14851+1229
3CD Marathon14842+1128
4CD Motagua14914+1028
5Estrella Roja14545019
6Lobos Upnfm14545019
7Olancho14392+318
8Génesis14437+115
9Atlético Choloma14428-514
10Atletico Independiente14275-1013
11Platense FC142210-218
12Juticalpa142012-276

More Liga Nacional predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?

Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?

On our numbers Juticalpa have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Marathon 63%.

How many goals will there be in Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?

Our predicted score is Juticalpa 0–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Juticalpa vs CD Marathon?

Juticalpa vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.