Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Semen Padang welcome PSMS Medan to Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim for a Liga 2 fixture on Saturday 17 October (09:30 WAT).
Current form
Semen Padang, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Persikad Depok FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
PSMS Medan, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to PSPS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours PSMS Medan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Semen Padang.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Semen Padang 1.3 xG, PSMS Medan 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Semen Padang 37%, draw 22%, PSMS Medan 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Semen Padang 1–1 PSMS Medan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Semen Padang37%fair 2.68 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
PSMS Medan40%fair 2.49 · @2.45
2.66Expected goals
1.30Semen Padang xG
1.36PSMS Medan xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Semen Padang 1.3 – 1.4 PSMS Medan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSMS Medan to win✗
40%
2.49
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
PSMS Medan (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Semen Padang +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
PSMS Medan to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSMS Medan / FT PSMS Medan✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Semen Padang – last 6
LLWDWL
11 Oct
@ Persikad Depok FC
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs PSPS
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ PSGC Ciamis
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–0
W
23 May
@ Persija
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
PSMS Medan – last 6
LWWWDL
11 Oct
@ PSPS
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Persikad Depok FC
4–0
W
27 Sep
@ Bekasi City
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Persiku Kudus
6–0
W
13 Sep
@ Sumsel United
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Persija
1–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Semen Padang and PSMS Medan.
What is the prediction for Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
On our numbers Semen Padang have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and PSMS Medan 40%.
How many goals will there be in Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
Our predicted score is Semen Padang 1–1 PSMS Medan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan?
Semen Padang vs PSMS Medan (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
RANS Nusantara1
Persela Lamongan0
PSGC Ciamis0
PSIS Semarang0