Value bet: Persela Lamongan to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPersela Lamongan to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93
RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:30 WAT, Saturday 17 October: RANS Nusantara v Persela Lamongan in the Liga 2, played at Pakansari Stadium.
Current form
RANS Nusantara, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Persipura Jayapura, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Persela Lamongan, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deltras, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RANS Nusantara 1.4 xG, Persela Lamongan 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RANS Nusantara 32%, draw 21%, Persela Lamongan 47%.
Price worth noting: Persela Lamongan to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: RANS Nusantara 1–2 Persela Lamongan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RANS Nusantara32%fair 3.12 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Persela Lamongan47%fair 2.14 · @2.30
3.19Expected goals
1.42RANS Nusantara xG
1.77Persela Lamongan xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: RANS Nusantara 1.4 – 1.8 Persela Lamongan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persela Lamongan to win✗
47%
2.14
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Persela Lamongan (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
RANS Nusantara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Persela Lamongan to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persela Lamongan / FT Persela Lamongan✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
RANS Nusantara – last 5
WWLDW
9 Oct
@ Persipura Jayapura
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ PSBS Biak Numfor
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Deltras
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Dejan
3–3
D
13 Sep
vs Persiba Balikpapan
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Persela Lamongan – last 6
DWWWWL
11 Oct
vs Deltras
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Barito Putera
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6–0
W
19 Sep
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Persis Solo
2–0
W
3 May
@ Tornado Pekanbaru
0–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RANS Nusantara and Persela Lamongan.
What is the prediction for RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
On our numbers RANS Nusantara have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Persela Lamongan 47%.
How many goals will there be in RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
Our predicted score is RANS Nusantara 1–2 Persela Lamongan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan?
RANS Nusantara vs Persela Lamongan (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Pakansari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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