Santa Cruz 59%Draw 28%Floresta 13%Expected goals 1.41 – 0.52
59%
Betarazi pick
Santa Cruz to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceSanta Cruz or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.90
Santa Cruz vs Floresta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Santa Cruz v Floresta in the Serie C. In the table, Santa Cruz are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; Floresta are 3rd with 5.
Current form
Santa Cruz, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maringá, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Floresta, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Botafogo PB, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Cruz 1.4 xG, Floresta 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Cruz 59%, draw 28%, Floresta 13%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Cruz to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Cruz 1–0 Floresta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Cruz59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.80
Floresta13%fair 7.42 · @5.80
1.93Expected goals
1.41Santa Cruz xG
0.52Floresta xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz 1.4 – 0.5 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Cruz to win✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Santa Cruz or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.44
Draw no bet
Santa Cruz (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Floresta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Santa Cruz to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Cruz / FT Santa Cruz✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.90
–
Recent results
Santa Cruz – last 6
WWDWLD
12 Sep
@ Maringá
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Botafogo PB
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Caxias
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Maranhão
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Botafogo PB
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Floresta – last 6
WLWWWL
12 Sep
@ Botafogo PB
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Maringá
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Ituano
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Volta Redonda
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Cruz and Floresta.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
Our pick is Santa Cruz to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
On our numbers Santa Cruz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Floresta 13%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz 1–0 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz vs Floresta?
Santa Cruz vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
