Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceFerroviária or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Ferroviária vs Brusque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Serie C brings Ferroviária against Brusque at Arena Fonte Luminosa. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Ferroviária are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Brusque are 3rd with 7.
Current form
Ferroviária, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Paysandu, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Brusque, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inter De Limeira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Ferroviária 1–0 Brusque.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ferroviária 1.7 xG, Brusque 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ferroviária 59%, draw 26%, Brusque 15%.
Lower-risk option: Ferroviária or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Ferroviária to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ferroviária or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ferroviária 1–0 Brusque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ferroviária59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @2.90
Brusque15%fair 6.88 · @3.70
2.40Expected goals
1.68Ferroviária xG
0.72Brusque xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ferroviária 1.7 – 0.7 Brusque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ferroviária vs Brusque?
Our pick is Ferroviária or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Brusque?
On our numbers Ferroviária have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Brusque 15%.
How many goals will there be in Ferroviária vs Brusque?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferroviária vs Brusque?
Our predicted score is Ferroviária 1–0 Brusque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ferroviária vs Brusque?
Ferroviária vs Brusque (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
