Santa Cruz vs Maringá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Serie C brings Santa Cruz against Maringá. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Santa Cruz are 2nd on 11 points after 6 matches; Maringá are 1st with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santa Cruz, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Floresta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Maringá, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Botafogo PB, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Sep 2026) it ended Maringá 0–1 Santa Cruz. The last 2 head-to-heads: Santa Cruz 1 win, Maringá 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Cruz 1.2 xG, Maringá 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Cruz 41%, draw 25%, Maringá 34%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Cruz 1–1 Maringá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Cruz41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.70
Maringá34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
2.30Expected goals
1.22Santa Cruz xG
1.08Maringá xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz 1.2 – 1.1 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
On our numbers Santa Cruz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Maringá 34%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz vs Maringá?
Santa Cruz vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
