Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFerroviária to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Paysandu vs Ferroviária: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu welcome Ferroviária for a Serie C fixture on Saturday 3 October (23:30 WAT). In the table, Paysandu are 4th on 5 points after 6 matches; Ferroviária are 1st with 11.
Current form
Paysandu, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter De Limeira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ferroviária, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brusque, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ferroviária, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Paysandu.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Sep 2026) it ended Ferroviária 1–0 Paysandu. The last 2 head-to-heads: Paysandu 0 wins, Ferroviária 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paysandu 1.2 xG, Ferroviária 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paysandu 36%, draw 23%, Ferroviária 41%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Ferroviária to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paysandu 1–1 Ferroviária. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paysandu36%fair 2.79 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Ferroviária41%fair 2.41 · @2.75
2.48Expected goals
1.18Paysandu xG
1.30Ferroviária xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.2 – 1.3 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Paysandu vs Ferroviária?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Paysandu vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ferroviária 41%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Ferroviária?
Paysandu vs Ferroviária (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
