Value bet: Santa Cruz to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Cruz to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.96
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Cruz travel to face Botafogo PB on Saturday 10 October in the Serie C – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Botafogo PB are 4th on 5 points after 6 matches; Santa Cruz are 2nd with 11.
Current form
Botafogo PB, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Floresta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Santa Cruz, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maringá, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Santa Cruz, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Botafogo PB.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Santa Cruz 1–0 Botafogo PB. The last 2 head-to-heads: Botafogo PB 0 wins, Santa Cruz 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo PB 0.9 xG, Santa Cruz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo PB 34%, draw 25%, Santa Cruz 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Santa Cruz to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo PB 1–1 Santa Cruz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo PB34%fair 2.98 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Santa Cruz41%fair 2.41 · @2.75
1.98Expected goals
0.91Botafogo PB xG
1.07Santa Cruz xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Botafogo PB 0.9 – 1.1 Santa Cruz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
On our numbers Botafogo PB have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Cruz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
Our predicted score is Botafogo PB 1–1 Santa Cruz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz?
Botafogo PB vs Santa Cruz (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
