Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaringá to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Maringá vs Floresta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Maringá v Floresta in the Serie C. In the table, Maringá are 1st on 11 points after 6 matches; Floresta are 3rd with 5.
Current form
Maringá, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Cruz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Floresta, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Botafogo PB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Maringá, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Floresta.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Floresta 0–1 Maringá. The last 2 head-to-heads: Maringá 1 win, Floresta 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maringá 1.8 xG, Floresta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maringá 64%, draw 25%, Floresta 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maringá to win (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maringá 1–0 Floresta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maringá64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.25
Floresta11%fair 8.94 · @5.50
2.44Expected goals
1.81Maringá xG
0.63Floresta xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.8 – 0.6 Floresta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Maringá to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Maringá vs Floresta?
On our numbers Maringá have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Floresta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Floresta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Floresta?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Floresta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Floresta?
Maringá vs Floresta (Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
