Value bet: Turku PS to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTurku PS to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.36
Mariehamn vs Turku PS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Mariehamn v Turku PS in the Veikkausliiga. In the table, Mariehamn are 6th on 19 points after 27 matches; Turku PS are 3rd with 32. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Mariehamn, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lahti, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Turku PS, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SJK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Turku PS 3–0 Mariehamn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mariehamn 1.2 xG, Turku PS 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mariehamn 38%, draw 21%, Turku PS 41%.
Price worth noting: Turku PS to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (79%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mariehamn 0–1 Turku PS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mariehamn38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Turku PS41%fair 2.44 · @2.62
2.48Expected goals
1.20Mariehamn xG
1.28Turku PS xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.2 – 1.3 Turku PS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Turku PS 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 0–1 Turku PS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Turku PS?
Mariehamn vs Turku PS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
