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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ilves v Lahti: numbers & prediction

Veikkausliiga · Finland · Tammelan Stadion

Ilves

WLLLD
3–1
FT

Lahti

WWWLD
Ilves 44%Draw 21%Lahti 35% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.22
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultIlves to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Ilves vs Lahti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 12 September the Veikkausliiga brings Ilves against Lahti at Tammelan Stadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Ilves are 2nd on 38 points after 27 matches; Lahti are 1st with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ilves, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FF Jaro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Lahti, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mariehamn, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lahti, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Ilves.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Ilves 1–0 Lahti. The last 3 head-to-heads: Ilves 2 wins, Lahti 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ilves 1.4 xG, Lahti 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ilves 44%, draw 21%, Lahti 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ilves 1–1 Lahti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ilves44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Lahti35%fair 2.85 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.41Ilves xG
1.22Lahti xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ilves 1.4 – 1.2 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIlves to win ✓44%2.292.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.55
Draw no betIlves (draw no bet) ✓55%1.80–
Asian handicapLahti +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreIlves to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ilves / FT Ilves ✓24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Ilves – last 6

WLLLDW
8 Sepvs FF Jaro2–0W
31 Augvs HJK Helsinki1–2L
22 Augvs VPS0–1L
17 Aug@ Gnistan2–3L
13 Augvs HNK Rijeka1–1D
9 Augvs Mariehamn2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lahti – last 6

WWWLDW
8 Sepvs Mariehamn2–1W
31 Aug@ VPS1–0W
21 Aug@ SJK2–1W
16 Augvs KuPS1–2L
9 Aug@ Inter Turku0–0D
1 Augvs FF Jaro2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Ilves v Lahti1–0
10 Jun 2026Ilves v Lahti5–2
30 May 2026Lahti v Ilves5–0
Ilves vs Lahti head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ilves vs Lahti?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Ilves vs Lahti?

On our numbers Ilves have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lahti 35%.

How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Lahti?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Lahti?

Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ilves vs Lahti?

Ilves vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.