Value bet: SalPa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalPa to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
PKKU vs SalPa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Ykkönen brings PKKU against SalPa at Kalevan Urheilupuisto. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, PKKU are 7th, lower half, on 38 points after 27 matches; SalPa are 3rd (among the top four) with 48.
Current form
PKKU, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to OLS, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
SalPa, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rops, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours SalPa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for PKKU.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended SalPa 0–1 PKKU. The last 2 head-to-heads: PKKU 2 wins, SalPa 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PKKU 1.3 xG, SalPa 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PKKU 23%, draw 17%, SalPa 61%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: SalPa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PKKU 1–2 SalPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PKKU23%fair 4.42 · @2.80
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @4.00
SalPa61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
3.58Expected goals
1.30PKKU xG
2.28SalPa xG
71%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: PKKU 1.3 – 2.3 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PKKU vs SalPa?
On our numbers PKKU have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and SalPa 61%.
How many goals will there be in PKKU vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PKKU vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is PKKU 1–2 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is PKKU vs SalPa?
PKKU vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kalevan Urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
