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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

TPV v KPV-j: numbers & prediction

Ykkönen · Finland · Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

TPV

LLWLW
4–0
FT

KPV-j

LWLLL
TPV 61%Draw 21%KPV-j 18% Expected goals 2.46 – 1.31
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultTPV to win ✓61% · @1.48
Double chanceTPV or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95

TPV vs KPV-j: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

KPV-j travel to face TPV on Saturday 10 October in the Ykkönen, with Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, TPV are 10th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 27 matches; KPV-j are 11th (in the drop zone) with 19.

Current form

TPV, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC jazz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

KPV-j, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to VJS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended KPV-j 1–3 TPV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give TPV 2.5 xG, KPV-j 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – TPV 61%, draw 21%, KPV-j 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: TPV or draw (82%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: TPV 2–1 KPV-j. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

TPV61%fair 1.63 · @1.48
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @4.50
KPV-j18%fair 5.64 · @4.50
3.77Expected goals
2.46TPV xG
1.31KPV-j xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%

From our goals model: TPV 2.5 – 1.3 KPV-j expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTPV to win ✓61%1.631.48
Double chanceTPV or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betTPV (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapTPV -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.371.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
First team to scoreTPV to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultTPV ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT TPV / FT TPV ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

TPV – last 6

LLWLWD
26 Sepvs FC jazz1–3L
20 Sep@ Inter Turku II0–3L
13 Sepvs KuPS Akatemia4–2W
29 Augvs PKKU0–2L
22 Aug@ Inter Turku II1–0W
15 Aug@ Tampere United1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

KPV-j – last 6

LWLLLW
26 Sep@ VJS0–2L
18 Sepvs KuPS Akatemia3–2W
11 Sep@ FC jazz0–3L
29 Aug@ JJK1–4L
21 Augvs KuPS Akatemia2–4L
16 Aug@ Inter Turku II3–2W
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026KPV-j v TPV1–3
TPV vs KPV-j head-to-head page →

Ykkönen table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere United271665+3354
2Rops271395+2048
3SalPa271467+1248
4VJS2712105+1446
5OLS271188+1141
6FC jazz271179+140
7PKKU271089038
8JJK279711+134
9Inter Turku II278613-930
10TPV278613-1030
11KPV-j275418-5219
12KuPS Akatemia273717-2116

More Ykkönen predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for TPV vs KPV-j?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win TPV vs KPV-j?

On our numbers TPV have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KPV-j 18%.

How many goals will there be in TPV vs KPV-j?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for TPV vs KPV-j?

Our predicted score is TPV 2–1 KPV-j, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is TPV vs KPV-j?

TPV vs KPV-j (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.