Palmeiras 58%Draw 22%Vasco DA Gama 20%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.91
58%
Betarazi pick
Palmeiras to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chancePalmeiras or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palmeiras welcome Vasco DA Gama for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Sunday 1 November (20:00 WAT).
Current form
Palmeiras, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Flamengo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Vasco DA Gama.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Aug 2026) it ended Palmeiras 4–1 Vasco DA Gama. The last 2 head-to-heads: Palmeiras 1 win, Vasco DA Gama 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palmeiras 1.8 xG, Vasco DA Gama 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palmeiras 58%, draw 22%, Vasco DA Gama 20%.
Lower-risk option: Palmeiras or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Palmeiras to win (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palmeiras58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.20
Vasco DA Gama20%fair 4.93 · @5.00
2.67Expected goals
1.76Palmeiras xG
0.91Vasco DA Gama xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Palmeiras 1.8 – 0.9 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Palmeiras to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Palmeiras have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vasco DA Gama 20%.
How many goals will there be in Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama?
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gremio2
Atletico-MG0