Cerro Largo 65%Draw 23%Rentistas 13%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.48
65%
Betarazi pick
Cerro Largo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultCerro Largo to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceCerro Largo or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.85
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 30 September the Copa Uruguay brings Cerro Largo against Rentistas. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Cerro Largo, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Club Nacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rentistas, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Uruguay Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rentistas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Largo 1.5 xG, Rentistas 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Largo 65%, draw 23%, Rentistas 13%.
Lower-risk option: Cerro Largo or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cerro Largo to win (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Largo 1–0 Rentistas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Largo65%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Rentistas13%fair 7.89 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.52Cerro Largo xG
0.48Rentistas xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cerro Largo 1.5 – 0.5 Rentistas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Largo to win✓
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Cerro Largo or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Draw no bet
Cerro Largo (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cerro Largo to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Largo / FT Cerro Largo✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.85
–
Recent results
Cerro Largo – last 6
LDDLDL
26 Sep
vs Club Nacional
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Central Espanol
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Atletico Torque
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Liverpool Montevideo
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rentistas – last 6
WLWWWD
26 Sep
@ Uruguay Montevideo
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Oriental
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Plaza Colonia
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Colón
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Fenix
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ CA River Plate
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Largo and Rentistas.
What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
Our pick is Cerro Largo to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
On our numbers Cerro Largo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rentistas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
Our predicted score is Cerro Largo 1–0 Rentistas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cerro Largo vs Rentistas?
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensor Sporting0
Plaza Colonia1