Defensor Sporting 59%Draw 20%Plaza Colonia 20%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.62
59%
Betarazi pick
Defensor Sporting to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Defensor Sporting v Plaza Colonia in the Copa Uruguay.
Current form
Defensor Sporting, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Danubio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Plaza Colonia, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atenas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensor Sporting 1.4 xG, Plaza Colonia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensor Sporting 59%, draw 20%, Plaza Colonia 20%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Defensor Sporting to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensor Sporting 1–0 Plaza Colonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensor Sporting59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.30
Plaza Colonia20%fair 4.89 · @4.50
2.00Expected goals
1.38Defensor Sporting xG
0.62Plaza Colonia xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.4 – 0.6 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensor Sporting to win✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.60
Draw no bet
Defensor Sporting (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Plaza Colonia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Defensor Sporting to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Recent results
Defensor Sporting – last 6
WLWDDL
27 Sep
vs Danubio
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Club Nacional
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Deportivo Maldonado
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Cerro Largo
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Central Espanol
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Atletico Torque
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Plaza Colonia – last 6
DDLWWL
27 Sep
@ Atenas
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Paysandu
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Rentistas
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Oriental
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensor Sporting and Plaza Colonia.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Defensor Sporting to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Plaza Colonia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–0 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia?
Defensor Sporting vs Plaza Colonia (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cerro Largo1
Rentistas0