Value bet: Jiangxi Liansheng to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultXi'an Ronghai to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 14.36
Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 12 October the League Two brings Xi'an Ronghai against Jiangxi Liansheng at Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Xi'an Ronghai are 5th, lower half, on 35 points after 30 matches; Jiangxi Liansheng are 1st (leading the league) with 49. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Xi'an Ronghai, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Langfang Glory City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jiangxi Liansheng, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dalian Kewei, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xi'an Ronghai 1.0 xG, Jiangxi Liansheng 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xi'an Ronghai 41%, draw 24%, Jiangxi Liansheng 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Jiangxi Liansheng to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.92, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xi'an Ronghai 1–1 Jiangxi Liansheng. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xi'an Ronghai41%fair 2.42 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.88
Jiangxi Liansheng34%fair 2.90 · @3.50
1.94Expected goals
1.03Xi'an Ronghai xG
0.91Jiangxi Liansheng xG
52%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Xi'an Ronghai 1.0 – 0.9 Jiangxi Liansheng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xi'an Ronghai to win✓
41%
2.42
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Xi'an Ronghai (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Jiangxi Liansheng +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Xi'an Ronghai to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
14.36
–
Recent results
Xi'an Ronghai – last 6
DWLDLW
6 Oct
@ Langfang Glory City
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Guizhou Zhucheng
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Shenzhen 2028
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Rizhao Yuqi
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Qingdao Red Lions
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Changchun Xidu
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jiangxi Liansheng – last 6
LWLWLW
7 Oct
vs Dalian Kewei
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Shandong Taishan II
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Shanghai Port II
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Chengdu Rongcheng II
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Xiamen Feilu
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Wuhan Three Towns II
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xi'an Ronghai and Jiangxi Liansheng.
What is the prediction for Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
On our numbers Xi'an Ronghai have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jiangxi Liansheng 34%.
How many goals will there be in Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
Our predicted score is Xi'an Ronghai 1–1 Jiangxi Liansheng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng?
Xi'an Ronghai vs Jiangxi Liansheng (League Two) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Taiyuan University Football Stadium - Artificial grass.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.