Value bet: Changchun Xidu to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultYichun Grand Tiger to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yichun Grand Tiger welcome Changchun Xidu to Wenzhou Sports Centre for a League Two fixture on Monday 12 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Yichun Grand Tiger are 5th, lower half, on 37 points after 30 matches; Changchun Xidu are 8th (in the drop zone) with 41.
Current form
Yichun Grand Tiger, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shanghai Second, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Changchun Xidu, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guangzhou Dandelion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yichun Grand Tiger 1.0 xG, Changchun Xidu 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yichun Grand Tiger 41%, draw 26%, Changchun Xidu 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Changchun Xidu to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yichun Grand Tiger 0–0 Changchun Xidu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yichun Grand Tiger41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.62
Changchun Xidu33%fair 3.07 · @3.40
1.82Expected goals
0.99Yichun Grand Tiger xG
0.83Changchun Xidu xG
49%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–016%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Yichun Grand Tiger 1.0 – 0.8 Changchun Xidu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yichun Grand Tiger to win✗
41%
2.43
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.57
Draw no bet
Yichun Grand Tiger (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Changchun Xidu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Yichun Grand Tiger to score first
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Recent results
Yichun Grand Tiger – last 6
DLWWDD
6 Oct
@ Shanghai Second
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Rizhao Yuqi
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Dalian Yingbo B
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Xiamen Feilu
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Shenzhen 2028
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Changchun Xidu – last 6
DDWWDL
6 Oct
vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Guangdong Mingtu
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Dalian Kewei
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ BIT
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Xi'an Ronghai
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yichun Grand Tiger and Changchun Xidu.
What is the prediction for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
On our numbers Yichun Grand Tiger have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Changchun Xidu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
Our predicted score is Yichun Grand Tiger 0–0 Changchun Xidu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu?
Yichun Grand Tiger vs Changchun Xidu (League Two) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Wenzhou Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dalian Kewei2
Guangzhou Dandelion3
Shanghai Second1
Xiamen Feilu0